The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. Nate Silver directionhampshireinstance Change image and share on social
By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. Nate Silver artificiallycurvedevelop Change image and share on social
Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. Nate Silver amountcatcollection share on social
I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil. Nate Silver evilgoodlevel Change image and share on social
First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. Nate Silver coveroddpeople Change image and share on social
When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. Nate Silver futuremakemistake Change image and share on social
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' Nate Silver behaviorexperimentobserve Change image and share on social
We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way. Nate Silver calibrateestimateprediction Change image and share on social
I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs. Nate Silver articleblogjournal Change image and share on social
I have the same friends and the same bad habits. Nate Silver badfriendhabit Change image and share on social
