The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. Nate Silver bearisheconomisteconomy Change image and share on social
People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting. Nate Silver attachclutchdesire Change image and share on social
Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election. Nate Silver determinantelectionrace Change image and share on social
If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it. Nate Silver forecastgloryreason Change image and share on social
The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times, and so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before. Nate Silver 000circulatedissemination share on social
The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions. Nate Silver associateauthoritativenesscapital Change image and share on social
Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. Nate Silver actamericanchaos share on social
