You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast. Nate Silver forecastinfluencesystem Change image and share on social
Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. Nate Silver congressofficepercent Change image and share on social
You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects. Nate Silver arbitrarybuildchoice share on social
If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. Nate Silver agendumborebubble Change image and share on social
We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise. Nate Silver informationlearnmean Change image and share on social
Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. Nate Silver accuracyperceivestatistically Change image and share on social
All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. Nate Silver possiblystufftime Change image and share on social
We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. Nate Silver comfortableprobabilityuncertainty Change image and share on social
