Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. Nate Silver coldhotinstinct Change image and share on social
The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information. Nate Silver forecastgoodinformation Change image and share on social
To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance. Nate Silver advanceanswerextent Change image and share on social
I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience. Nate Silver audiencebuildkind Change image and share on social
A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news. Nate Silver entertainmentlotmasquerade Change image and share on social
Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. Nate Silver actamericanchaos share on social
We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. Nate Silver beatgallupgoogle Change image and share on social
People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them. Nate Silver gravitatehappyimply Change image and share on social
When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there. Nate Silver achieveanalysiscartoon share on social
