The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions. Nate Silver associateauthoritativenesscapital Change image and share on social
Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public. Nate Silver congressimpressionmake Change image and share on social
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. Nate Silver coldhotinstinct Change image and share on social
The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information. Nate Silver forecastgoodinformation Change image and share on social
To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance. Nate Silver advanceanswerextent Change image and share on social
A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news. Nate Silver entertainmentlotmasquerade Change image and share on social
Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. Nate Silver amountcatcollection share on social
When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen. Nate Silver bigdatumfunny Change image and share on social
I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though. Nate Silver anymorebaseballfantasy Change image and share on social
