Hindsight bias makes surprises vanish. Daniel Kahneman biashindsightmake Change image and share on social
Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues. Daniel Kahneman ageattributeeffect share on social
So your emotional state really has a lot to do with what you're thinking about and what you're paying attention to. Daniel Kahneman attentionemotionallot Change image and share on social
Nobody would say, 'I'm voting for this guy because he's got the stronger chin,' but that, in fact, is partly what happens. Daniel Kahneman chinfactguy Change image and share on social
One emphasis of my research has been on the question of how people spend their time. Time is the ultimate finite resource, or course, so the question of how people spend it would seem to be important. Daniel Kahneman emphasisfiniteimportant Change image and share on social
Many ideas happen to us. We have intuition, we have feeling, we have emotion, all of that happens, we don't decide to do it. We don't control it. Daniel Kahneman controldecideemotion Change image and share on social
Negotiations over a shrinking pie are especially difficult because they require an allocation of losses. People tend to be much more easygoing when they bargain over an expanding pie. Daniel Kahneman allocationbargaindifficult Change image and share on social
You know, the standard state for people is 'mildly pleasant.' Negative emotions are quite rare, and extremely positive emotions are rare. But people are mildly pleased most of the time, they're mildly tired a lot of the time, and they wish they were somewhere else a substantial part of the time - but mostly they're mildly pleased. Daniel Kahneman emotionextremelylot share on social
The planning fallacy is that you make a plan, which is usually a best-case scenario. Then you assume that the outcome will follow your plan, even when you should know better. Daniel Kahneman assumecasefallacy Change image and share on social
Psychologists really aim to be scientists, white-coat stuff, with elaborate statistics, running experiments. Daniel Kahneman aimcoatelaborate Change image and share on social